GeraMarket / US house price momentum
US House Price Momentum by State & Metro Area
Real FHFA HPI data for 51 US states and 410 metro areas, 2026 Q1. US state median 1-year change: +3.79%. Includes the Gera US Price Momentum (GUSPM) index β latest HPI + 1yr/5yr % change + volatility band per area.
Where are US house prices rising fastest in 2026?
As of 2026 Q1, the median 1-year FHFA HPI change across all US states is +3.79%, per the Federal Housing Finance Agency All-Transactions House Price Index. The top-rising states include Alaska (+7.37%), Connecticut (+6.55%), New York (+6.11%), Illinois (+5.75%), New Jersey (+5.38%). The Gera US Price Momentum (GUSPM) index tracks HPI, 1yr/5yr % change, and volatility per state and CBSA metro.
Top 10 areas by Gera US Price Momentum (GUSPM)
| Area | Type | GUSPM | 1-Year Change | 5-Year Change | Volatility |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dothan, AL | Metro | 100.0 / 100 | +15.92% | +51.29% | high |
| Elmira, NY | Metro | 90.8 / 100 | +14.67% | +42.34% | high |
| Bangor, ME | Metro | 83.9 / 100 | +9.68% | +67.67% | medium |
| Syracuse, NY | Metro | 82.2 / 100 | +8.96% | +66.04% | medium |
| Gadsden, AL | Metro | 80.8 / 100 | +10.00% | +58.69% | high |
| Parkersburg-Vienna, WV | Metro | 80.4 / 100 | +11.87% | +43.87% | high |
| Springfield, OH | Metro | 80.3 / 100 | +9.57% | +60.14% | medium |
| Midland, MI | Metro | 79.2 / 100 | +8.99% | +59.16% | medium |
| Lawton, OK | Metro | 78.2 / 100 | +11.09% | +45.77% | high |
| Atlantic City-Hammonton, NJ | Metro | 77.7 / 100 | +7.16% | +75.40% | medium |
Fastest-rising states (1-year FHFA HPI change)
| State | 1-year change | 5-year change | Volatility | GUSPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaska | +7.37% | +42.49% | medium | 64.5 / 100 |
| Connecticut | +6.55% | +60.59% | medium | 69.8 / 100 |
| New York | +6.11% | +51.59% | low | 64.7 / 100 |
| Illinois | +5.75% | +49.44% | low | 62.3 / 100 |
| New Jersey | +5.38% | +62.31% | medium | 65.3 / 100 |
Fastest-rising metro areas (1-year FHFA HPI change)
| Metro area | 1-year change | 5-year change | Volatility | GUSPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dothan, AL | +15.92% | +51.29% | high | 100.0 / 100 |
| Elmira, NY | +14.67% | +42.34% | high | 90.8 / 100 |
| Parkersburg-Vienna, WV | +11.87% | +43.87% | high | 80.4 / 100 |
| Lawton, OK | +11.09% | +45.77% | high | 78.2 / 100 |
| Gadsden, AL | +10.00% | +58.69% | high | 80.8 / 100 |
Explore GUSPM across all US states and metro areas
Filter by type, sort by 1-year or 5-year momentum, and narrow by volatility band.
| # | Area | Type | GUSPM | 1-Year | 5-Year | Volatility | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | Dothan, AL | Metro | 100.0 / 100 | +15.92% | +51.29% | high | View β |
| #2 | Elmira, NY | Metro | 90.8 / 100 | +14.67% | +42.34% | high | View β |
| #3 | Bangor, ME | Metro | 83.9 / 100 | +9.68% | +67.67% | medium | View β |
| #4 | Syracuse, NY | Metro | 82.2 / 100 | +8.96% | +66.04% | medium | View β |
| #5 | Gadsden, AL | Metro | 80.8 / 100 | +10.00% | +58.69% | high | View β |
| #6 | Parkersburg-Vienna, WV | Metro | 80.4 / 100 | +11.87% | +43.87% | high | View β |
| #7 | Springfield, OH | Metro | 80.3 / 100 | +9.57% | +60.14% | medium | View β |
| #8 | Midland, MI | Metro | 79.2 / 100 | +8.99% | +59.16% | medium | View β |
| #9 | Lawton, OK | Metro | 78.2 / 100 | +11.09% | +45.77% | high | View β |
| #10 | Atlantic City-Hammonton, NJ | Metro | 77.7 / 100 | +7.16% | +75.40% | medium | View β |
| #11 | Clarksville, TN-KY | Metro | 77.5 / 100 | +8.57% | +61.06% | medium | View β |
| #12 | Bridgeport-Stamford-Danbury, CT | Metro | 76.7 / 100 | +8.35% | +58.95% | medium | View β |
| #13 | Jefferson City, MO | Metro | 76.7 / 100 | +7.96% | +66.01% | medium | View β |
| #14 | Utica-Rome, NY | Metro | 75.6 / 100 | +8.75% | +59.25% | high | View β |
| #15 | Janesville-Beloit, WI | Metro | 74.2 / 100 | +7.58% | +62.08% | medium | View β |
| #16 | Jackson, MI | Metro | 74.1 / 100 | +8.72% | +52.62% | medium | View β |
| #17 | Rockford, IL | Metro | 73.8 / 100 | +6.87% | +67.35% | medium | View β |
| #18 | Morristown, TN | Metro | 73.5 / 100 | +6.89% | +70.99% | high | View β |
| #19 | Peoria, IL | Metro | 72.9 / 100 | +9.03% | +46.47% | medium | View β |
| #20 | Lancaster, PA | Metro | 72.8 / 100 | +7.60% | +58.56% | medium | View β |
| #21 | Sierra Vista-Douglas, AZ | Metro | 72.8 / 100 | +8.00% | +55.23% | medium | View β |
| #22 | Reading, PA | Metro | 72.5 / 100 | +7.57% | +60.91% | medium | View β |
| #23 | Lebanon, PA | Metro | 72.4 / 100 | +7.32% | +61.62% | medium | View β |
| #24 | Fond du Lac, WI | Metro | 72.1 / 100 | +7.06% | +64.46% | medium | View β |
| #25 | Lewiston-Auburn, ME | Metro | 71.9 / 100 | +6.19% | +69.57% | medium | View β |
Showing top 25 results. Source: FHFA HPI (All-Transactions, NSA), sorted by GUSPM composite.
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Frequently asked questions
- What is the FHFA House Price Index?
- The Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) House Price Index (HPI) measures average price changes in repeat sales or refinancings of single-family properties in the US. The All-Transactions index uses both purchase and refinance mortgages acquired by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. It is a US federal government work and is in the public domain.
- Which US states have the highest house price momentum in 2026?
- As of 2026 Q1, the states with the highest 1-year FHFA HPI % change are: Alaska (+7.37%), Connecticut (+6.55%), New York (+6.11%), Illinois (+5.75%), New Jersey (+5.38%). The US state median 1-year change is +3.79%.
- Which US metro areas have the highest house price momentum in 2026?
- The metro areas (CBSAs) with the highest 1-year FHFA HPI % change as of 2026 Q1 are: Dothan, AL (+15.92%), Elmira, NY (+14.67%), Parkersburg-Vienna, WV (+11.87%), Lawton, OK (+11.09%), Gadsden, AL (+10.00%).
- What is the Gera US Price Momentum (GUSPM) index?
- GUSPM is a Gera-computed composite index per US state and CBSA metro area. It blends three signals from real FHFA HPI data: 1-year % change (50% weight), annualized 5-year % change (30% weight), and an inverse-volatility stability bonus (20% weight). The result is normalized to a 0β100 scale across all 461 entries. Areas with insufficient FHFA data (short series) show "insufficient data". See the methodology page for the full formula.
- How often is the FHFA HPI updated?
- The FHFA publishes the quarterly HPI datasets approximately 2 months after each quarter-end. The All-Transactions (NSA) dataset used here covers data back to 1975 for some states. Gera re-fetches and recomputes GUSPM on each new quarterly release.
- Is the FHFA House Price Index data free to use?
- Yes. The FHFA HPI is a product of the US federal government and is in the public domain under US law (17 U.S.C. Β§ 105). It is available in bulk TXT/CSV form at no cost, with no API key required, at fhfa.gov/data/hpi/datasets.
All 51 US states
Contains public sector information published by Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) and licensed under the US public domain β federal government work. Source: FHFA House Price Index (HPI) β All-Transactions, Not Seasonally Adjusted (2026 Q1, published June 2026).
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